NSW Government
AdaptNSW

Interactive climate change projections map

Explore projections under 2 emissions scenarios - low emissions (SSP1-2.6) and high emissions (SSP3-7.0), with a medium-emissions scenario (SSP2-4.5) launching soon.

Viewing options

Select an emissions scenario
For the scenarioLow emissions SSP1-2.6 For the scenarioMedium emissions SSP2-4.5 For the scenarioHigh emissions SSP3-7.0
View this map by View this map byRegion View this map byGrid

Interactive projections map

Select a grid square
Change in temperature Annually
2020-39

Change in average temperature (°C)

    NARCliM2.0 climate projections are also presented across timescales as side-by-side tiles and as a bar chart for the selected parameters.

    Change in average temperature (ºC)

    • Annual Change Mean _._ºC
    • Annual Change Max. _._ºC
    • Annual Change Min. _._ºC
    • Summer Change Dec - Feb _._ºC
    • Autumn Change Mar - May _._ºC
    • Winter Change Jun - Aug _._ºC
    • Spring Change Sep - Nov _._ºC

    Change in average temperature (°C)

    How to read this chart

    The bar chart displays the outputs of each of the 10 NARCliM models averaged for the viewing options you have chosen.

    The vertical length of the WHITE BAR shows the spread of values from the 10 models.

    Each horizontal THIN BLACK LINE is the average for one single model for the region. There are 10 bars, one for each of the 10 models.

    The THICK BLUE LINE is the average of all 10 models.

    The DOTTED RED LINE represents zero change in the variable.

    An example graph of how to read this chart
    How to read this chart

    Download the climate snapshot and data files for NSW

    You can download the NSW climate change snapshot and packaged GIS-compatible data files. To appropriately acknowledge NARCliM in your work, please see the Terms & Conditions.

    Download snapshot and projection maps for NSW

    Regional climate change snapshots

    How to use the climate projections map

    Select the region, climate variables and timescale that you want to explore from the left Viewing menu.

    Detailed Frequently Asked Questions are also available for your assistance.

    The map can be viewed in a Region view or Grid view:

    • In Region view you can select a region and see more information on the average value of the region for all climate variables.
    • In Grid view you can see values for each 4km grid for all variables. Select a grid square to view the value of the variables for that location.

    The projections data underpinning this map were developed by the NSW and Australian regional climate modelling (NARCliM) project.